On the other hand,上海会所he past, the Fed now has t

to take the delayed effect of balance sheet reduction conducted earlier into its consideration of rate cuts. The current phase-out of balanc

上海会所e sheet reduction already has some easing effect, and only after the balance sheet reduction ends in September, can its impact become clearer.

By incorporating that impact into consideration, the Fed can draw up a better rate cut plan that maximizes effects of the policy mix.上海会所

Thirdly, the market may have overestimated how much the Fed will cut the rates. There may be no more than three rate cuts by the end of 2020.

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard – the major advocate of this

round of rate cut – has suggested the use of the modern-day Taylor rule, which fairly well explains th上海会所

e Fed’s interest rate decisions. Even based on this model adopted by dovish Fed officials, we found that the degree of rate cuts may be weaker than m

上海会所arket expectation for quite some time going forward: at most one cut by the end of this year and likely two or three cuts by the end of 2020.

By contrast, before the June FOMC meeting, the market expected a higher-than-85-percent chance of more than one rate cut by the

end of this year as well as an about 60-percent chance of more than three cuts by the end of 2020, according to Bloomberg data.上海会所品茶微信

In conclusion, we think as economic downside pressure gradually emerges, the Fed will have to kick off the rate cut cycle. But the rate cut si上海会所品茶微信

gnal, timing and degree may not measure up to the market expectation. Therefore, two future developments appear possible:

First, investor sentiment can reverse drastically if the Fed’s action fails to meet market expec上海会所品茶微信

tation. Considering the market has fully priced in the unrealistic expectation of rate cuts sinc

e early June, any reversal of expectation can lead to short-term fluctuations of key price signals such as the US Treasury yield cu

rve, the US Dollar Index, and the gold price, which may pose extensive spillover shocks to asset portfolios.

Second, the long-term trend of rate cuts will continue even if the market expectation reverses. In the long

run, the Fed is expected to proceed with rate cuts in a fairly slow and smooth way. This will enlarge the monetary policy room of ot

her major economies and expedite the shift toward an easing global monetary environment, which may in turn lift the sen

timent of global stock markets and ease any currency risk of emerging markets gradually.

Cheng Shi is the managing director, head of research and chief economist of ICBC Interna

tional Holdings Ltd.Qian Zhijun is a senior economist of ICBC International Holdings Ltd.

chitudoudemao.cn

Minister General Wei Fenghe speaks at the Shangri-La Dialo

The People’s Liberation Army will adamantly support regional and world peace, but will not be

“bullied or preyed upon” by foreign powers into giving up national sovereignty and legitimate int

erests, State Councilor and Defense Minister General Wei Fenghe said on Sunday in Singapore.

Experts said Wei’s speech at the Shangri-La Dialogue, a key defense summ

it, marked a milestone in Chinese military diplomacy as Wei showcased the PLA’s confide

nce, positions on key issues and its sincerity and willingness to exchange and cooperate with other countries.

It is the first time in eight years that a Chinese defense minister has participated in the event.

Building a community with a shared future for mankind is the right path forward an

d the trend of the times amid growing uncertainty and instability around the world, he said.

www.zsdbv.cn

So by holding lectures, conducting dialogues and screen

ning movies related to the countryside and contributed by guest authors, the region’s local literary legacy can both be re-examined and extended.

Many modern and contemporary works of Chinese literature touch on common rural issues – childhood upbringing, family inheritance and people’s exp

erience of being stuck on the bottom rung of society – that have been rooted in Chinese farming culture for thousands of years.

China’s urbanization has been rapidly progressing to the extent that rural life has become

something unfamiliar to the majority of the population, which is very different from what it was like just three de

cades ago, according to Ge Fei, author and a Chinese literature professor at Tsinghua University in Beijing.

He was rst day of the festival, interpreting what it means to us when rural societies fade away.

qianpadae.com

So by holding lectures, conducting dialogues and screen

ning movies related to the countryside and contributed by guest authors, the region’s local literary legacy can both be re-examined and extended.

Many modern and contemporary works of Chinese literature touch on common rural issues – childhood upbringing, family inheritance and people’s exp

erience of being stuck on the bottom rung of society – that have been rooted in Chinese farming culture for thousands of years.

China’s urbanization has been rapidly progressing to the extent that rural life has become

something unfamiliar to the majority of the population, which is very different from what it was like just three de

cades ago, according to Ge Fei, author and a Chinese literature professor at Tsinghua University in Beijing.

He was rst day of the festival, interpreting what it means to us when rural societies fade away.

qianpadae.com

“I think there are advantages and opportunities on b

oth sides if we can get people to sit down and really look at how do we put these pieces together,” Holden said.

He listed infrastructure, energy, education and business-to-business relationships as potential areas of coope

ration between China and the US, and he suggested such cooperation could start from subnational bilateral exchanges.

“It’s so important to be working at the state and local level. Because in that fashion, by buildin

g these relationships now, hopefully we get a more stable relationship nationally going forward,” said H

olden.hina’s relevant government department decided to open an investigation into US shipping company Fed

Ex, for suspected infringement of Chinese customers’ legitimate rights and relevant laws and regulations.

www.jvuau.cn

Xi hailed Zhang’s deeds, saying the elderly hero hid the

 for more than 60 years and stayed true to his original aspirations. As a s

oldier, Zhang defended the country; as a civilian, he works for the people’s well-being, Xi said.

Zhang lives a life of simplicity, purity and indifference to fame and fortune, serving as a role

model for military officers, rank-and-file soldiers and veterans across the country, Xi said.

Zhang, a member of the CPC, was a soldier of Brigade 359 of the Northwest Field Ar

my, one of the main forces of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army during the Liberation War between 1945 and 1949.

He was honored by the Northwest Field Army sever

al times for performing meritorious deeds as he braved enemy fire. He was twice given the honorary title of C

www.njLongrun.cn

Father of slain student petitions court for death penalty

It’s been nearly a year since Xie Diao, a postgraduate student of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, was stabbed seven tim

es to death by his high school classmate Zhou Kaixuan at a restaurant outside the school.

Xie Zhonghua, father of Xie Diao, has been immersed in grief in the past year: He often

dreamed of his son, but then would suddenly awaken and start sobbing uncontrollably.

The case will finally be heard in Beijing First Intermediate People’s Court on May 24. To get justice for his son, Xie Zhon

ghua took to the streets and publicized the case, gathering tens of thousands of signatures that he has su

bmitted to the court. He hopes that, through his petition, the court would sentence Zhou to death.

www.exdkjp.cn

Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang urged the US gover

 government on Tuesday to consider the costs it would bear through raising tariffs.

He reiterated that China will never capitulate under any external pressure and hopes the US meets China halfway.

The US has no need to “worry about” China’s affairs, Geng said at a daily news conference. The country has made progress i

improving its foreign investment environment and has become a popular investment destination, he sa

id, citing the expansion of US-based Exxon Mobil Corp and Tesla Inc in the market last year.

Geng stressed that China welcomes foreign companies to increase investment in the market and will co

ntinue to establish a more stable, fair, transparent and predictable investment and business environment.

9319144.org.cn

Uber was the biggest of a group of Silicon Valley startu

ups that have spent years raising money in private rounds at record prices. Many of these com

panies are now looking to follow with their own IPO. Some, like Uber and Lyft, are unprofitable.

Workplace messaging company Slack Technologies Inc plans to hold an investor presentation on Monday in adv

ance of its direct listing next month. Grocery and food delivery platform Postmates, WeWork owner The We Co

mpany and online mattress retailer Casper Sleep are among startups seeking to launch IPOs this year.

“If a venture capital investor wants to burn cash they can do that as long as they want, bu

t once you get to the public markets you have to show profitability or a path to it,” said Jordan Stuart, a po

rtfolio manager at Federated Kaufmann who often purchases companies’ shares during an IPO.

wrplg.cn

population, including psychological needs, so the servi

services will aim precisely at those most in need,” she said.Shan Jixiang, former director and curator of the Palace Muse

um, has been hired as Palace Museum Research Institute chief, one month after his retirement.

Wang Xudong, current director of the Palace Museum, on Wednesday handed the offer letter, dated May 6, to Shan.

Xi Huan, vice-president of Beijing Hospital, said major medical institutions need to mak

e more efforts to improve services for the elderly, including the promotion of disease prevention educ

ation and increased follow-up visits for elderly patients who have been discharged from the hospital.

“Big hospitals should provide more help for elderly patients, and more follow-up nursing services after they leave the ho

spital, so they can get timely help if problems occur at home or at community health centers,” he said.

lunran.cn